XRP Price Prediction: Can Ripple Token Break $1.4098?
XRP price prediction interest is spiking again, and not just because of the chart. The Ripple-linked token has spent close to a week sliding under a level that keeps deciding its short-term direction, and it is now sitting right at that same line once more, coiled and ready to move.
On top of that, one of the most recognizable names to ever work inside Ripple just made a claim about XRP's future that has the entire crypto community talking. Here is the full picture.
XRP Price Today: Live Data and 24-Hour Change
XRP is trading at $1.3522 at the time of writing, up slightly on the hour by around 0.25% even though the broader 24-hour trend remains negative, down close to 2.67% after shedding roughly $0.037 on the day.
Futures volume over the last 24 hours sits at $3.49 billion against spot volume of $737.68 million, a gap that shows leveraged traders continue to drive most of the short-term movement in this Ripple asset.
XRP's market cap currently stands at $84.88 billion, with open interest at $2.95 billion, a healthy amount of leveraged exposure that could add force to whichever direction this trendline eventually breaks.
Circulating supply sits at 62.87 billion XRP against a total supply of 99.98 billion and a max supply of 100.00 billion, meaning a large share of the eventual XRP supply has already entered circulation.
Source: CoinGlass, Ripple market data, accessed September 11, 2026.
Ripple Former CTO Makes Bold Bitcoin Flip Claim For XRP
Away from the chart, one of the loudest XRP news stories this week has come from a familiar face in the Ripple world. 
According to a post from CoinDesk on X, former Ripple CTO David Schwartz said he believes coin could eventually overtake Bitcoin in value, but not because Bitcoin weakens.
His argument was that a flip like that would only happen if Price simply grows at a faster pace than Bitcoin itself, rather than through any decline on Bitcoin's side.
That kind of statement from someone who helped build Ripple's core technology carries a different weight than the usual social media hot takes, even if it remains a long-term and highly ambitious claim rather than anything close to guaranteed.
For anyone shaping an Ripple price prediction around sentiment as well as charts, this kind of commentary from a Ripple insider is worth factoring in, even while treating the actual flip scenario as speculative.
Source: Post by CoinDesk (@CoinDesk) on X, September 11, 2026.
Quick Take: XRP Price Prediction at a Glance
CMP: $1.3522 (1-hour chart, Binance)
Price testing a descending trendline from below after several days of decline
Hourly trigger: sustained close above 1.4098 opens the path toward 1.4848 and major resistance 1.7006.
Failure level: close below 1.3083 risks a slide toward 1.2195.
Momentum reading near 43.58 on the chart oscillator, cooling off after an earlier bearish tag
Data timestamp: September 11, 2026, 1h Binance perpetual chart
Risk note: leveraged positioning remains elevated, so a confirmed break in either direction could move faster than spot activity alone suggests.
XRP Technical Analysis: Ripple Token Pressed Against Trendline
Looking at the 1-hour XRP/USDT perpetual chart on Binance, Price has spent the last several sessions sliding down along a descending trendline, with each retest producing a slightly lower high than the one before. 
That pattern has kept short-term momentum leaning bearish for most of the week.
Right now Ripple is sitting almost exactly on that same trendline again, trading at $1.3522 and up modestly on the hour, which suggests buyers are at least making an attempt to hold this ground rather than giving it up without a fight.
The oscillator on the chart is reading close to 43.58, an improvement from the outright bearish tag it carried a few sessions earlier, though it is still sitting below the midpoint rather than confirming a clean shift in momentum.
That kind of gradual recovery in the oscillator often shows up right before a trendline either finally breaks or forces one more retest.
If price manages an hourly close above $1.4098, that would be the clearest sign yet that this Ripple token has shaken off the trendline, and the next resistance to watch sits at $1.4848, an area that has acted as a pause point before.
A confirmed close above that level would put the $1.7006 zone in play as the next major target for this Ripple forecast, though a move of that size would almost certainly involve pullbacks along the way rather than a single straight run.
On the other side, if the trendline fails to hold and price closes below $1.3083, that would confirm sellers are still in charge, opening the door to a retest of $1.2195, a level this chart flags as the next real floor.
A breakdown through that support alongside continued weak momentum would be the clearest sign this XRP price outlook needs to shift back toward the downside.
Source: TradingView, XRP/USDT Perpetual, Binance, 1h chart, accessed September 11, 2026.
XRP Support and Resistance Levels to Watch
XRP Key Levels vs. CMP $1.3522
Price (USD)
Bull Case, Base Case, And Bear Case For XRP
The bullish path for this Ripple price prediction hinges on whether this trendline test finally goes in the buyer's favor after several failed attempts earlier in the week.
A close above $1.4098 would be the first real confirmation, and if that holds, $1.4848 becomes the next stop for this Ripple token.
Clearing that opens the door to $1.7006, though a move of that size would likely unfold over several sessions rather than in one clean push, especially with pullbacks along the way.
The base case, and arguably the most likely near-term outcome, is price continuing to chop right around this trendline zone while the market digests both the technical setup and the bold long-term commentary coming out of Ripple circles.
With sentiment running hot on the Bitcoin flip talk but the chart itself still undecided, some sideways movement here would not be surprising.
The bearish case takes over if the trendline finally gives way and the price closes below $1.3083. That would put $1.2195 back on the table as the next support to watch.
Combine that with futures volume still running well ahead of spot demand, and a breakdown from here could move quickly if broader market sentiment turns weak at the same time.
Risks To This XRP Price Prediction
Leveraged positioning remains elevated relative to spot volume, which means a decisive break of this trendline in either direction could get amplified by liquidations faster than the spot chart alone would suggest.
The Bitcoin flip commentary from Ripple's former CTO is also a long-term and speculative framing rather than a near-term catalyst, so it should not be read as something likely to move price on its own in the short run.
Broader crypto market conditions matter here too, since a sharp move in Bitcoin or a shift in overall risk sentiment could easily pull XRP away from this setup regardless of how the trendline resolves.
Key Terms Explained
Trendline: A line connecting a series of price highs or lows that shows the direction a market has been respecting, often acting as support or resistance until it finally breaks.
Open Interest: The total number of outstanding derivative contracts, such as futures, still active in a market, commonly used as a rough gauge of leveraged exposure.
Flip: A term used in crypto to describe one asset overtaking another in total market capitalization, most commonly discussed in the context of altcoins potentially surpassing Bitcoin.
Disclaimer
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and price predictions are based on technical analysis that can change quickly with new market developments. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
